Liberty vs Dream Picks and Prediction – 6/29/2025

The New York Liberty (11–4) wrap up their four-city road trip against the Atlanta Dream (10–6) in a showdown of top Eastern Conference contenders. New York leads the league in offensive and net rating, while Atlanta has surged under coach Karl Smesko. This game pits New York’s high-octane pace against Atlanta’s disciplined, slower style. Get in on all the action with our free WNBA picks.

The Liberty blend explosive offense (first in league at 108.5 rating) with emerging defensive challenges, having allowed over 100 points twice recently despite high season-long efficiency. Injuries to Jonquel Jones and Leonie Fiebich remain an issue, though Sabrina Ionescu, Breanna Stewart, and Natasha Cloud keep the offense firing. With losses in three of their last four, this once unbeatable team has looked quite vulerable as of late.

The Dream (7–3 in last 10) feature a strong core of Rhyne Howard, Brittney Griner, Brionna Jones, and Allisha Gray. Their offense boasts the second-best rating in the league, underpinned by Smesko’s system focused on spacing and strong two-way play. At home, they’ve been dominant and well-rested entering tonight. Griner has taken a step back this year, only averaging 10 points and 6 rebounds. Others have stepped up to contribute, particularly Gray, who averages 19.5 points per night.

It is hard to get behind New York as a favorite against any of the good teams in the WNBA right now. The Liberty are slumping, and the Dream are a talented team playing on their home court. We like a play on the Atlanta Dream with the points. Prediction: Atlanta wins 78-76.