Mystics at Sun 10/6/19 - WNBA Finals Picks & Predictions

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics
Date & Time: 10/6/2019, 7:30 PM UTC
Location: Mohegan Sun Arena
Address: Uncasville, CT
Latest Odds: CONN -2 Total 175
TV Channel: abc

On Sunday, the Washington Mystics visit the Connecticut Sun to play Game 3 of their best of five WNBA Finals series. The series is knotted 1-1 after Connecticut beat Washington 99-87 in Game 2. The Mystics may have to play without top scorer Elena Delle Donne who has a herniated disk in her back. The teams said it is preparing as if Delle Donne would not play, but has not ruled her out. 

Jonquel Jones led Connecticut offensively in Game 2 with 32 points, but it’s the suffocating defense of the Sun that has taken it up another notch during the Finals. Courtney Williams has allowed the fewest points per possession of any WNBA player during the playoffs. Alyssa Thomas can guard anyone effectively and has yet to be rested during Games 1 and 2 of the Finals. 

During the regular season Elena Della Donne was the leading scorer and rebounder for the Mystics with averages of 19.5 points and 8.3 rebounds per game. Kristi Toliver was the leader in assists with an average 6.0 per game and the second leading scorer with an average of 13.0 points per game. In all, five players averaged double-figures in scoring for the Mystics.

During the regular season, Jonquel Jones was the leading scorer and leader in rebounds for the Sun with averages of 14.6 points and 9.7 rebounds per game. Jasmine Thomas was the fourth leading scorer with an average of 11.1 points per game and leader in assists with an average of 5.4 per game. Four players for the Sun averaged double figures in scoring.

Betting Trends

  • Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 on the road
  • The OVER has cashed in 20 of the Mystics last 28
  • Connecticut is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 versus Eastern Conference opponents
  • The OVER has cashed in 7 of the Sun’s last 10
Free WNBA Pick: Connecticut Sun -2

The key for Game 3 is the health of Elena Delle Donne and that is not looking good for Washington. The Mystics have not ruled Delle Donne out, but are preparing for Sunday’s game as though the team’s high scorer will not play. Look for a much more defensive battle at both end of the court. The Sun’s defense is taking control of the series, but Washington’s will step up its defense in the absence of Delle Donne resulting in a lower scoring outcome. Final Score Prediction, Connecticut Sun wins and covers ATS 82-78.

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