Sparks vs Fever Picks and Prediction – 7/5/2025

The Los Angeles Sparks (5-13) visit the Indiana Fever (9-8) in a rematch following LA's recent 89-79 loss to the New York Liberty. Indiana, meanwhile, is coming off an impressive 81-54 victory against Las Vegas. Both teams faced each other last on June 26, with the Sparks claiming an 85-75 victory, making this an intriguing contest. Take the WNBA by storm with our WNBA picks.

The Sparks have struggled this season, currently sitting at 5-13 overall and 3-7 in the last 10 games. Last game, despite Dearica Hamby’s standout 25-point performance, Los Angeles fell short against the Liberty due to poor defensive execution and rebounding shortcomings. Offensively, the Sparks are averaging 81.8 points per game, shooting just 43.6% from the field. Kelsey Plum remains the primary scoring threat, averaging 20.6 points per game.

Defensively, Los Angeles allows opponents to score 86.8 points per game, demonstrating problems in perimeter defense. Losing forward Cameron Brink, out for this matchup, further exacerbates the Sparks' defensive shortcomings and rebounding struggles (33.1 rebounds per game). The weak defense combined with problems winning on the road (4-6 away record) will challenge the Sparks against Indiana’s stronger lineup.

The Fever enter this matchup riding high after dismantling the Las Vegas Aces 81-54. Indiana's recent form (6-4 last ten games) reflects improvement, climbing to a 9-8 overall record. With a strong home record of 5-4, Indiana looks poised and confident, even with Caitlin Clark and Damiris Dantas sidelined for this contest. Kelsey Mitchell remains dominant, scoring 18.9 points per game and shooting 45.1%.

Defensively, Indiana allows only 80.1 points per game, solidifying a strong defense that showed its strength holding Las Vegas to just 54 points. The Fever edge the Sparks in rebounding (33.7 per game) and shooting (45% FG). With impressive recent victories, including three straight wins following the last loss to Los Angeles, Indiana enters confident, and prepared to defend its home court.

Indiana is the stronger team here. Recent form (winning 4 of the last 5 games), defensive strength (80.1 points allowed per game), and higher shooting from the floor (45% FG%) give the Fever clear advantages over Los Angeles. Considering Los Angeles’ defensive shortcomings (allowing 86.8 points per game) and Brink’s absence, Indiana should comfortably secure a victory. Final Score Prediction: Indiana Fever win and cover 88-78.