Aces vs Mercury Picks and Prediction – 6/29/2025

By: Cameron Ross |

Last Updated: 06/28/2025 at 8:15 PM ET

Las Vegas Aces at Phoenix Mercury 06/29/25 - WNBA Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 6/29/2025, 10:00 PM UTC
Latest Odds: PHX -7.5 ; O/U 166.5

Aces vs Mercury Prediction

The Las Vegas Aces will be back on the road Sunday with a game in Phoenix against the Mercury. Vegas has seven wins and eight losses this season having lost three of the last four overall following an 11 point home loss against Washington in their last outing. Offensively Vegas is averaging 8.7 points on 40.7% shooting from the floor this season. Defensively Vegas allows 82.1 points per game but have given up 90 or more points in each of their last two losses. Stay up to date with our WNBA Picks.

A'ja Wilson leads the Las Vegas offense this season averaging 21.2 points and 9.2 rebounds per game. Jackie Young is second on the roster aging 18.2 points and Jewell Loyd chips on a fourth best 11.5 points per game. Chelsea Gray is third on the team averaging 14.2 points to go along with the team high 4.3 assists per game.

The Phoenix Mercury stay on their home floor Sunday with 12 wins and four losses this year riding in long winning streak following a 15 point blowout of New York in their last outing. Offensively Phoenix averages 83.8 points on 43.5% from the floor and have averaged 106.5 points per game over the last two victories. Dfensively the Mercury is top tier as well holding opponents to 79 points per game this season through 16 games played.

Satou Sabally leads the Phoenix offense this season with 1946 points and 7.9 rebounds per game. Alyssa Thomas is second on the roster averaging 14.6 points to go along with the team-leading 9.5 assists. Kahleah Copper is third on the team averaging 13 points per game this season despite playing in only four games overall.

Aces vs Mercury Pick Analysis

Phoenix is the better team and should get the win in this game. Despite Phoenix being the better team Vegas is plenty good enough to keep things close. Look for Vegas to play well start to finish Sunday leading to the cover on the road. Final Score Prediction, Phoenix Mercury win but the Las Vegas Aces cover 86-81.

Our Free WNBA Pick for Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces

Las Vegas Aces +7.5