Aces vs Liberty Picks and Prediction – 5/17/2025

By: Cameron Ross |

Last Updated: 05/16/2025 at 11:33 PM ET

Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty 05/17/25 - WNBA Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/17/2025, 5:00 PM UTC
Latest Odds: NY -3.5 ; O/U 167.5

Aces vs Liberty Prediction

Saturday brings a matchup between two of the better teams in the WNBA as these two teams have won the last several championships. Las Vegas had another stellar season a year ago finishing the regular year with 27 wins and 13 losses overall. Vegas rolled through the first round but eventually fell in four games to this New York team ending their chance at another WNBA title. Stay in the news with our WNBA Picks.

A'ja Wilson led the way for the Las Vegas offense a year ago averaging 26.9 points and 11.9 rebounds per game in route to the league MVP. Jackie Young is the second leading scorer returning from last season after averaging 15.8 points to go along with the team leading 5.3 assists per game. Chelsea Gray is also back this season for Las Vegas after averaging 8.6 points and 4.9 assists per game a year ago.

The New York Liberty come into the 2025 season as the reigning defending champion following a stellar campaign a year ago. New York finished the regular season last year with 32 wins and eight losses overall before rolling through the postseason. The Liberty won 8 of 11 playoff games in route to the title over the Minnesota Lynx in five games a year ago.

Breanna Stewart led the way for New York a year ago averaging a team high 20.4 points per game in just under 33 minutes per contest. Sabrina Ionescu was second on the roster averaging 18.2 points to go along with a team high 6.2 assists per game. Jonquel Jones manned the middle for New York a year ago ranking 3rd on the team averaging 14.2 points to go along with a team high 9 rebounds per contest. Betnijah Laney-Hamilton was the 4th player on the roster averaging double digits a year ago averaging 11.8 points per game but played in just 28 contests total.

Aces vs Liberty Pick Analysis

The New York Liberty are the better team in this matchup and will open their championship defense with a win on Saturday. Look for New York to play well on both sides of the ball as they overwhelm an elite Las Vegas team. Take the liberty to defend home floor as they open the new season with a win and cover at home on Saturday. Final Score Prediction, New York Liberty win and cover 86-79.

Our Free WNBA Pick for New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces

New York Liberty -3.5