Wings vs Mercury Picks and Prediction – 7/8/2025

In a pivotal First-Half finale, the Dallas Wings (6-13) travel to face the Phoenix Mercury (12-6). Dallas, despite a rocky 6-13 start, has shown flashes of talent; Phoenix, meanwhile, looks to solidify its playoff positioning. This matchup could tip the balance in the West and offers intriguing contrasts: a young, speedy Wings team against a veteran-laden Mercury squad. Get in on the action with our free WNBA picks.

The Wings come in riding a brief two-game winning streak, buoyed by rookie Paige Bueckers (18.7 PPG, 5.7APG), who’s emerged as a franchise cornerstone. Arike Ogunbowale has reignited her shooting stroke, recording 20+ points in three of the last five outings. Transition offense and perimeter spacing continue to define their approach, but depth issues remain a concern, especially with ongoing injuries to McCowan and Geiselsöder.

Phoenix edges into Monday with a 5–2 record in their last seven—a rebound after a mid-June slump. The team blends veteran poise with rising talent. Satou Sabally (19.1 PPG, 7.7 RPG) has been dominant inside, while Alyssa Thomas facilitates with double-digit assists in five of the last six games. Their defense, third-best in rating league-wide, thrives on effort and rotation. Though Shey Peddy remains out, the team’s bench production—especially from Key Canady—helps Phoenix control tempo.

Expect a fast-paced, high-energy matchup. The total may be a little high for us at the moment, however. Instead we will look to the veterans on the Phoenix Mercury to rebound after a loss to this same Dallas team. Phoenix should have an advatnage, and be able to cover the spread, winning 85-77.