Sun vs Mercury Picks and Prediction – 7/19/2023

By: Josh Obermeyer |

Last Updated: 07/17/2023 at 9:11 PM ET

Connecticut Sun at Phoenix Mercury 7/18/23 - WNBA Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 7/19/2023, 2:00 AM UTC

The Connecticut Sun invade the Footprint Center on Tuesday evening to take on the Mercury of Phoenix. The Sun come into this contest with a record of 15-5, while the Mercury sit at 4-15. The Sun took all 3 games when these two teams met last season.

The Phoenix Mercury have dropped 4 out of their last 5 games, and now sit 14 games back of first-place Las Vegas. They were also just routed by that same Las Vegas team last time out, 98-72. Onyenwere had 18 points, but it wasn't enough to make it competitive. They only shot 38.6% from the field in that 26-point beatdown.

The Connecticut Sun have won 3-straight, and sit tied atop the Eastern Conference Standings with the New York Liberty. They are coming off of a 12-point win over the Chicago Sky, 84-72. Hayes went off with 22 points on 7-15 shooting from the floor, and Bonner added 21 points. The team shot an impressive 49.3 from the hardwood, while holding the Sky to just 40.3% shooting.

The Connecticut defense is ranked number 1 overall in 3-pt FG %. They also rank 3rd in points per game, only allowing 79.1 points. On the other side of the coin, the Phoenix Mercury are 3rd worst in PPG and 3-pt FG %. Obviously, the Sun will have a huge advantage on defensive side of the ball.

Sun vs Mercury Prediction

Sun vs Mercury Pick Analysis

Betting Trends for vs

Sun

Sun are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Sun are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Sun are 6-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Sun' last 5 games

Mercury

Mercury are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Mercury are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mercury are 2-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mercury' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mercury' 9 last games at home

Our Free WNBA Pick for vs

Connecticut Sun -6

The Sun have the overall better record, but they also have the better record against the number. They are 11-8-1 against the spread, while the Mercury are just 6-13. And let's face it, these are two teams that are heading in polar opposite directions. The Sun have won 3-straight, while the Mercury have dropped 4 out of their last 5. Don't look for things to change on Tuesday evening as the Sun take care of business in Phoenix. Final Score Prediction, the Connecticut Sun win and cover ATS, 92-76.