Dream vs Liberty Picks and Prediction – 6/17/2025

By: Jake Allmann |

Last Updated: 06/16/2025 at 8:56 PM ET

Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty 06/17/25 - WNBA Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 6/17/2025, 11:00 PM UTC
Latest Odds: NY -8.5 ; O/U 163.5

Dream vs Liberty Prediction

The Atlanta Dream roll into Brooklyn hot off a three-game homestand sweep, including a dominant 89-56 road win over the Mystics. Sitting at 8-3, they’ve gone 4-2 away from home. On the other side, the New York Liberty just dropped its first game in a surprising 102-88 loss at Indiana, but they still lead the WNBA at 9-1 and remain unbeaten at Barclays Center. Take the WNBA by storm with our WNBA picks.

Atlanta has won five of its last six. The 33-point destruction of Washington showed how complete the Dream can be when everything clicks. Allisha Gray has been the go-to weapon, averaging 19.9 points while shooting 49.2% from the field and 80.3% from the line. Atlanta’s offense puts up 84.2 points per game, and they crash the glass hard with 38.4 rebounds a night. This team shares the ball decently with 20.5 assists per game and commits to tough defense, which fuels transition chances.

Defensively, Atlanta limits opponents to 77.6 points per game while blocking 5.1 shots and swiping 5.6 steals per outing. This isn’t a flashy defense, but it’s reliable and disciplined. The Dream are healthy heading into this matchup, and that gives them an edge. The challenge will be slowing down one of the league’s most efficient scoring units in a building where the Liberty haven’t lost yet.

Despite the recent stumble, New York has been the best team in the league for a reason. The Liberty’s firepower can overwhelm any opponent. Breanna Stewart continues to be the engine, averaging 19.5 points with 52.9% shooting. She leads a group that posts 90.2 points per game while hitting 47.2% of its shots. With 22.5 assists a night, the ball moves well, and shooters get clean looks.

The Liberty defense is holding teams to just 74.5 points per game. They also rank higher in steals than Atlanta with 9.7 per contest, and are tough at the rim with 5.2 blocks. Even with Jonquel Jones listed as a game-time decision and Leonie Fiebich out, this team’s depth and playing at home make them tough to beat. They’ve gone 5-0 at Barclays and look to stay perfect there.

Dream vs Liberty Pick Analysis

The Liberty’s edge in shooting (47.2% to 42.8%), scoring (90.2 to 84.2), and ball movement (22.5 assists to 20.5) will be the difference. Stewart is playing like an MVP, and New York’s defense is stingier across the board. Atlanta’s strong recent form will be tested by a team that's dominant at home and deeper even without Jones. Final Score Prediction: New York Liberty win 91-80.

Our Free WNBA Pick for New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream

New York Liberty -8.5