SJ Earthquakes at Portland Timbers 10/6/19 - MLS Picks & Predictions

Game: Portland Timbers vs SJ Earthquakes
Date & Time: 10/6/2019, 8:00 PM UTC
Location: Providence Park
Latest Odds: Portland Timbers -0.25
TV Channel: ESPN

There is a crucial match in the last match-day of the regular season, where two teams in horrible form will fight to place themselves inside the playoff spots. Portland are sitting inside and even a draw here would grant them a ticket to the post-season. San Jose are sitting outside and Dallas are in-between in the standings. The Quakes can enter the post-season with a win here, so this is going to be intense.

San Jose (13-15-5) are coming off yet another loss, this time by 1-0 at home against Seattle. That was their fifth consecutive loss, and eighth in their last ten matches (2-8-0). The Quakes are now sitting at the 8th spot of the Western Conference with 44 points, one behind Dallas and two behind Portland. A win here would grant them a ticket to the playoffs, but they have won just three of their 16 away matches this season (3-10-3). And they have lost each of their last six on the road.

Portland (13-13-7) scored a late equalized to hold out for a 2-2 draw on the road against Kansas. That was their second 2-2 draw in a row, their third draw in a row, and the fifth consecutive match without a win (0-2-3). The Timbers are sitting at the 6th spot of the Western Conference with 46 points, with Dallas one point behind and San Jose two points behind. Portland have not been very good at home this season (7-5-4), mostly due to their inability to win matches there in the past two months (2-4-2).

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San Jose won by an easy 0-3 at home earlier in the season, but Portland had won each of the previous three against the Quakes. More importantly, Portland have been almost perfect as hosts against San Jose over the years (10-1-4), winning each of the last eight and conceding just two goals in that span. This is a match between two sides in terrible form, and I will choose the one with the better history and the home advantage.

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