Mainz at Hoffenheim 12/23/18 - Bundesliga Picks & Predictions

By: Paul |

Last Updated: 08/08/2019 at 1:19 PM ET

Hoffenheim have been struggling to find consistency in the past month but they were caught up in Champions League matches. They did a solid job managing their squad but they are in dire need to return to winning ways. They will now play host to Mainz on Sunday, who have not been very good either and are sitting at the bottom half of the league table.

Hoffenheim (6-4-6) are coming into this match after a really hard-fought 1-1 draw on the road against Werder Bremen. They were slightly better in the first half when they took the lead, but their opponents were much better in the second and pulled even at the 57th for the final 1-1. That means that Hoffenheim are now win-less in their last seven matches in all competitions (0-2-5), keeping just a single clean sheet in that span. Hoffenheim are sitting at the 7th spot of the Bundesliga with 24 points, just one behind Wolfsburg and the top-six. They have been quite solid at home so far (3-2-3) but they lost two and drew once in the Champions League.
Mainz (5-6-5) will be feeling upset about the outcome of their previous match where they split the points in a 2-2 draw against Frankfurt. They were better in the first half and even took the lead twice, but their opponents responded to both goals and forced a 2-2 draw. Mainz have now won just once in their last five (1-2-2), which was also their only clean sheet in their last ten matches in all competitions. They are now sitting at the 12th spot of the league table with 20 point, six ahead of the relegation zone. They might have the 4th best defense with 21 conceded but they also have the 3rd worst offense with just 16 goals. Mainz have not been anything special on the road so far (2-4-1), with both wins coming in their last three matches.

Hoffenheim won both matches against Mainz last season, by 3-2 on the road before a 2-4 in this venue. They are undefeated in the last five against Mainz (4-0-1) with all five matches featuring at least four goals. They have also been great as hosts (5-3-2), winning each of the last four. There should be goals in this match, and a lot of them, so I will take the Over 3.5 Goals here.

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