Frosinone vs Napoli 12/8/18 - Serie A Picks & Predictions

By: Paul |

Last Updated: 08/08/2019 at 1:19 PM ET

Napoli will have a seemingly easy match in the Serie A on Saturday, when they will play host to bottom-feeders Frosinone. They have been really strong in all competitions so far and are actually on track to move to the next round of the Champions League. But they have a crucial match in Liverpool on Tuesday, which might give Frosinone some room to operate here.

Napoli (10-2-2) escaped Atalanta with all three points on Monday, as they scored a late goal to beat the hosts by 2-1. Prior to that they recorded a great 1-3 win at home against Red Star in the Champions League, but the goal they conceded might prove to be fatal. Napoli can even progress to the next round of the Champions League even with a loss, but they will fight for at least the draw. Back to the Sere A, Napoli are still 2nd with 32 points, eight behind Juventus and three ahead of Inter Milan. They are traditionally strong at home, where they are currently on a 22-match undefeated streak stretching back to last season (7-0-3 this season).
Frosinone (1-8-5) returned to the Serie A this season and have not fared well so far, especially on the road. They are coming into this match after a somewhat frustrating 1-1 draw at home against Cagliari, where they conceded a late goal that deprived them of their second win in the season. At least they have been pretty solid lately, losing just one of their last six (1-1-4). Frosinone are now sitting at the penultimate spot of the Serie A with just 8 points, which is six less than what they had at this point in their previous participation in the Serie A. They are five points below the relegation zone and have one of the worst away record in the league (1-5-1). They have also conceded at least three goals in four of those matches.

Napoli have never lost to Frosinone over the years (5-0-2), but six of those matches had goals from both sides. They will most likely win here, but since they have a massive match in Liverpool just a few days later, they will surely not go 100% here. I will pick the visitors to cover the spread, hoping that Napoli will do the smart thing here.

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