|Game||Paderborn vs Dortmund|
|Date & Time||Sunday May 31, 2020, 12:00 AM (EDT)|
Over 3.25 Goals (-108)
Fox Sports 1
Paderborn have not lost since the restart of the Bundesliga but that doesn’t mean they have been any good. They will now face a really tough task on Sunday, when they will host Dortmund. Dortmund lost in the big title match against Bayern Munich and saw their title chances drastically reduce.
Paderborn (4-17-7) played a really balanced match on the road against Augsburg on Wednesday, where neither of the two teams was really good up front and they eventually split the points in a goal-less draw. That was the third draw for Paderborn after the restart but it’s simply not enough. They are still stuck at the bottom of the league table with 19 points, eight below the red line. Paderborn have not been any good at home either (2-10-2), scoring in 13 of their matches but conceding multiple goals on nine occasions.
Dortmund (17-5-6) had a few good chances to score against Bayern Munich at home, but conceded the only goal of the match at the 43rd minute to eventually lose by 1-0. That loss pretty much destroyed their title chances, as they can now win the title only if Bayern Munich really mess it up in the remaining matches. Dortmund are 2nd with 57 points, now seven behind Bayern Munich, two ahead of RB Leipzig and four ahead of of Gladbach and Leverkusen. They have not been as good on the road (7-4-3), mainly because of their leaky defense, having conceded 23 goals so far but also scoring 29 in the process.
Paderborn almost humiliated Dortmund in the reverse fixture, taking a three goal lead on the road but conceding two late goals for the final 3-3 draw. Now all four previous matches between the two featured three goals or more, with the last two featuring six and eight goals respectively. I see goals from both sides here, and the Over 3.25 Goals looks like a pretty safe bet.