Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green Picks and Prediction – 10/7/2023

By: Josh Obermeyer |

Last Updated: 10/03/2023 at 2:23 PM ET

Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green 10/07/23 - MMA Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 10/7/2023, 11:00 PM UTC

On Saturday evening October 7th, Grant Dawson squares off against Bobby Green in this Lightweight Main Event Fight. The bout will take place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. Both fighters stand at 5'10', however, Dawson will have a one-inch reach advantage. Dawson is also 8 years younger than his opponent on Saturday evening. Be ready to find all the best UFC Picks around at Picks and Parlays!

Bobby Green comes into this contest with a fight record of 30-14-1 with 10 knockouts and 9 submissions. Green has gone just 1-2-1 across his last 4 fights, but he did get a victory in his most recent performance. He submitted Tony Ferguson in the third round via an arm triangle. Green was dominating the fight before he forced the tap from Ferguson. He had 137 significant strikes to Ferguson's 54. His last two losses came against the ever-impressive Drew Dober and Islam Makhachev, and his no-contest came against Jared Gordon. Bobby "King" Green fights out of the Icon MMA camp.

Grant Dawson has a fight record of 20-1-1 with 4 knockouts and 13 submissions to his credit. Dawson is an impressive 9-1 since joining the UFC back in 2017, with his only loss coming to Ricky Glenn via a majority decision. Since that loss by decision, Dawson has gone on a 3-fight win-streak by beating the likes of Jared Gordon, Mark Madsen, and Damir Ismagulov. Although his most recent fight went the distance against Ismagulov, he fought a great fight. He won by unanimous decision by out-striking him 30-13 and won the takedown battle 3-0. Grant "KGD" Dawson fights out of the American Top Team camp.

Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green Prediction

Grant Dawson vs Bobby Green Pick Analysis

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This should be a fantastic stylistic match-up as Grant will be looking to take the fight to the mat, while Green will be wanting to stand and trade. Statistically, Green has better numbers on his feet thanks to his 6.14 significant strikes per minute to Dawson's just 2.99. Dawson has also been slightly more accurate with his significant strikes as he is at 52% compared to Dawson's 51%. However, if and when this fight gets to the ground, it should be all Dawson. He takes his opponents to the mat 3.7 times per 15 minutes, and has an accuracy rate of 37% per takedown attempt. Green has one just one fight in his last 4 bouts, and Dawson has only lost once in his career. Dawson should get the takedown and submission within the first 2.5 rounds. Final Score Prediction, Grant Dawson wins in the second round via a submission.

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