Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners 9/28/22 - MLB Picks & Predictions

Last Updated: 09/28/2022 at 10:06 AM ET

Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners 9/28/22 - MLB Picks & Predictions

The Seattle Mariners host the Texas Rangers for the second game of a three-game series. Seattle leads the season series 12-4.

The Rangers are 65-87 overall and 33-42 on the road. Against the run line, they are 82-70 overall and 47-28 on the road. The Mariners are 83-69 overall and 39-32 at home. Against the run line, they are 80-72 overall and 33-38 at home.

Martin Perez is the scheduled starter for Texas. The lefthander is 12-6 with a 2.90 ERA over 30 starts and 183 1/3 innings. Perez has allowed 168 hits, walked 61 and struck out 164. Perez is 0-0 with a 2.12 ERA in 17 innings over three starts against Seattle this season. Martin has given up 14 hits, walked 11 and struck out 23.

George Kirby is set to make his 24th start of the season for Seattle. George is 7-4 with a 3.30 ERA over 120 innings. Kirby has allowed 124 hits, walked 18 and struck out 124. Seattle is 3-0 in Kirby’s three starts against Texas, but he has earned a decision just once.

Seattle batters have hit .274 off of Perez with a .383 on-base percentage and .425 slugging percentage in 113 at bats. Mitch Haniger is 9-for-27 against him with three doubles. Perez has struck him out six times and walked him three times. J.P. Crawford also has a .333 average against Perez, going 4-for-12 with two doubles. Carlos Santana is 7-for-25 with a homer and two doubles off Perez. He has driven in seven.

Texas batters have hit just .184 off Kirby in 49 at bats with seven singles and two home runs. Kirby has struck out 12 and walked two. Adolis Garcia has had the most success against him, going 3-for-7 with a homer. Nathaniel Lowe is 2-for-7 against Kirby, but he has also struck out four times.  

    The Mariners are 5-1 against the Rangers at home this season, and Seattle has outscored Texas 29-21 in those six games. Kirby has not been at his best in September and is coming off an especially poor performance at Oakland in which he allowed five runs in just 2 2/3 innings. Given his success against the Rangers this season, Kirby should be happy to see them coming to Seattle as he looks to bounce back. We like his chances. Final Score Prediction: Seattle Mariners win 5-3.  

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