Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants 9/30/22 - MLB Picks & Predictions

Last Updated: 09/29/2022 at 11:02 PM ET

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants 9/30/22 - MLB Picks & Predictions

The San Francisco Giants host the Arizona Diamondbacks for three games starting Sept. 30. Arizona leads the season series 9-7.

Merrill Kelly is scheduled to make his 32nd start of the season for the Diamondbacks. He is 31-7 with a 3.13 ERA over 189 2/3 innings. Kelly has allowed 154 hits, walked 57 and struck out 168. Kelly’s previous start came at home against the Giants on Sept. 24. He got the win by giving up just two earned runs in seven innings. Kelly allowed four hits, walked one and struck out six.

Alex Cobb is set to start for the 27th time this season for the Giants. He is 6-7 with a 3.67 ERA over 139 2/3 innings pitched. Cobb has allowed 136 hits, walked 42 and struck out 139. He last faced the Diamondbacks and Kelly on Sept. 24, taking the loss. Cobb gave up five hits and five earned runs in five innings while walking two and striking out three.

San Francisco’s hitters have not had much success against Kelly in their careers. In 191 at bats against the Diamondback righthander, they’ve hit just .194 and slugged .330 with an OPS of .567. Brandon Crawford and Mike Yastrzemski have faced Kelly the most with 34 ABs each. Crawford has 10 hits, including three doubles. Yastrzemski has just six hits off Kelly, but two have been home runs with one coming in that last meeting.

Arizona batters have hit .232 against Cobb, with 16 hits in 69 at bats, while slugging just .304. They have just one home run and two doubles against him. That homer and one of the doubles belong to Christian Walker, who has five hits in 11 at bats against Cobb. Walker was 1-for-3 with a hit, a walk, a run scored, an RBI and a strikeout in Cobb’s last start. Pavin Smith was 2-for-4 with a run scored.

Kelly is looking to top his career high in wins; Cobb is pitching to get to .500 for the season. If this game was in Arizona, Kelly gets the edge for sure, but Cobb’s ERA at Oracle Park this season is just 2.40 compared to 5.49 on the road. Kelly’s road ERA isn’t a ton higher though, at 3.27. We like the Giants to win, but the UNDER is the way to go. Final Score Prediction: San Francisco wins 3-2.

Download the Picks and Parlays Mobile App

Get A free VIP Pick Daily!