Toledo vs Western Kentucky Picks and Prediction – 9/21/2024

The Toledo Rockets (3-0) will face the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-1) in a matchup at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. Toledo is coming off a strong 41-17 victory over Mississippi State, while Western Kentucky just secured a 49-21 win against Middle Tennessee. Dominate the college scene with our College Football picks.

Toledo has been consistent on offense, with quarterback Tucker Gleason leading the charge. Gleason has thrown for 662 yards with an impressive 9 touchdowns and no interceptions. Willie Shaw III contributes on the ground, rushing for 137 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Junior Vandeross III leads the receivers with 225 yards and 3 touchdowns. Toledo is averaging 446 total yards per game, ranking 22nd in the nation, and 279 passing yards, which positions them at 17th. Offensively, Toledo looks dangerous with balanced production both in the air and on the ground.

Defensively, Toledo is a force to be reckoned with, allowing only 10 points per game. The defensive unit is ranked 13th nationally in points allowed, making them one of the top defenses in the country. They have a proven ability to shut down both the run and pass, giving up only 104.7 rushing yards per game. This balanced defensive strength will be critical in this matchup, as they aim to contain Western Kentucky's offense.

Western Kentucky, led by quarterback TJ Finley, has been solid, but not as explosive as Toledo. Finley has thrown for 490 yards, but with only 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, his efficiency has been an issue. On the ground, Elijah Young leads the team with 97 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns, while Kisean Johnson is the top receiver with 263 yards and 2 touchdowns. 

Western Kentucky’s offensive production has been less consistent, especially in the passing game, where Finley needs to improve his decision-making to keep up with Toledo’s high-powered offense. Defensively, Western Kentucky has struggled more than Toledo, especially against the pass. While they’ve managed to play well against the run, giving up an average of 263 yards through the air could be detrimental against the Rockets if they can’t stop Toledo’s aerial attack. 

Toledo’s balanced offensive and defensive units make them the clear favorites in this matchup. While Western Kentucky can put points on the board, the defense has too many holes to stop Gleason and the Rockets. Final Score Prediction: Toledo wins 38-17.