Toledo at Buffalo 10/22/22 - College Football Picks & Predictions

Last Updated: 10/21/2022 at 11:06 AM ET

The Buffalo Bulls host the Toledo Rockets in an interdivision Mid-American Conference matchup Oct. 22. Toledo is 7-5 against Buffalo all-time, but the Bulls have won two in a row against the Rockets.

Toledo is 5-2 overall and 1-2 on the road. Against the spread, the Rockets are 4-3 overall and 1-23 on the road. Buffalo is 4-3 overall and 1-1 at home. The Bulls are 5-1-1 ATS and 1-1 ATS at home.

Toledo has won three consecutive games, all by big margins. The Rockets beat Kent State, 52-31, on Saturday as 7-point favorites. They knocked off Northern Illinois, 52-32, as a 6.5-point favorite the week before. The streak started with a 38-17 win against Central Michigan as 6.5-point favorites.

Buffalo has won four games in a row, three times on the road, after opening the season 0-3. The most recent win came Saturday at UMass as the Bulls wo 34-7 after coming in favored by 17 points. They were just two-point favorites at Bowling Green the week before but won 38-7. The previews two wins were at home against Miami (Ohio), 24-20 as a 3-point favorite, and at Eastern Michigan, 50-31 as a 6-point underdog.

Toledo has averaged 403.1 yards total offense this season to rank 68th in the country and has cored 22 points a game . The Rockets are 100th overall with 209.9 yards passing per game and 32nd with 193.3 rushing yards a contest. Toledo’s defense ranks 49th with 359 yards allowed per game. It is 27th against the pass (194.4 ypg) and 91st against the pass (164.6 ypg). The Rockets have allowed 26.3 points a game.

Buffalo is averaging 398.7 yards per game on offense, 72nd overall. It is 68th in passing (241.6 ypg) and 63rd in rushing (157.1 ypg). The Bulls have scored 30.4 points a game. The Buffalo defense has allowed 384.7 yards a game, 216.6 passing and 168.1 rushing. It ranks 73rd overall, 52nd against the pass and 94th against the run and allows 24.4 points a game to rank 55th.

Both teams come in on a roll with plenty of offensive production of late. Toledo gets a slight edge on defense and that will make the difference. We like that the Rockets have a more balanced attack than the Bulls as well. Final Score Prediction: Toledo wins and covers 47-38.

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