TCU vs Baylor Picks and Prediction – 11/3/2024

On November 2, 2024, the TCU Horned Frogs travel to Waco to face the Baylor Bears in a Big 12 clash, with both teams eager to improve their standings in the conference. Get in on the action with our free NCAAF picks.

TCU, sitting at 5-3, has had a mixed season highlighted by quarterback Josh Hoover’s impressive stats, totaling 2,614 passing yards and 19 touchdowns. However, Hoover’s performance has been inconsistent, with turnovers playing a major role in the team’s struggles in tight games. The Horned Frogs’ offense has averaged 32.1 points per game, supported by solid performances from wide receiver Jack Bech, who has racked up 825 yards and 7 touchdowns. Despite these stats, TCU’s defense has been a weak spot, allowing an average of 27.4 points per game, which could make it difficult to maintain leads against competitive offenses. Their secondary has been vulnerable, struggling against high-powered passing games, and opponents have found success exploiting gaps in their defensive line. For TCU to gain an edge, limiting turnovers and boosting defensive stops will be critical, especially against a Baylor team capable of capitalizing on mistakes.

Baylor, currently at 4-4, looks to reverse their fortunes and deliver a strong performance at home. Baylor’s offensive attack is spearheaded by running back Richard Reese, who has accumulated 215 yards and touchdown. Reese’s effectiveness has given Baylor a strong foundation in the run game, though their passing game has been inconsistent. Baylor’s offense has averaged just under 30 points per game, but their defense has been their Achilles' heel, surrendering more than 30 points on average. In recent games, the Bears have struggled to contain balanced offenses, which could pose a significant challenge against TCU. For Baylor, home-field advantage will be essential, with the Bears needing to control the clock and reduce turnovers. Their defense will need to put pressure on Hoover and contain TCU’s dynamic receivers. An improved showing from their secondary will be essential, as defensive lapses could allow TCU’s quick-strike offense to capitalize on open-field opportunities. Baylor’s ability to perform on third downs, both offensively and defensively, could be the deciding factor in this matchup.

With TCU’s high-powered offense and Baylor’s defensive struggles, the Horned Frogs enter this game as slight favorites. TCU’s balanced attack should exploit Baylor’s weak defense, giving them a path to victory. Final Score Prediction, TCU wins 31-27.