New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee Picks and Prediction – 11/23/2024

The New Mexico State Aggies will visit the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders on November 23, 2024, at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee. Get in on all the football action with our free NCAAF picks.

New Mexico State enters the game with a 2-8 record, while Middle Tennessee stands at 3-7, struggling in what has been a challenging season under head coach Derek Mason.

The Aggies rely heavily on their run game, led by running back Seth McGowan, who has amassed 711 rushing yards this season. Quarterback Parker Awad has contributed in limited action with 518 passing yards, but their offense remains inconsistent, averaging 19.6 points per game. Defensively, New Mexico State has had difficulties, allowing 36.6 points and over 460 total yards per game, making it essential for their ground game to dominate time of possession​.

Middle Tennessee, under first-year head coach Mason, has had a turbulent season. Quarterback Nicholas Vattiato has been a bright spot, throwing for 2,559 yards and 12 touchdowns. However, turnovers and a struggling offensive line have hampered the Blue Raiders' ability to sustain drives. Defensively, Middle Tennessee has also faced challenges, giving up 36.3 points per game, which could open the door for New Mexico State’s rushing attack to shine.

This game appears to be a battle of two struggling defenses, making it likely to be decided by which offense can execute more consistently. NMSU has a more reliable run game, and MTSU has the better quarterback. We are siding with Vattiato and the Blue Raiders at home. Prediction: MTSU wins 27-21.