Florida International at New Mexico State 10/1/22 - College Football Picks & Predictions

Last Updated: 09/30/2022 at 8:10 PM ET

The New Mexico State Aggies host the Florida International Panthers on Oct. 1. These teams have only met once before with New Mexico State winning 56-31 in 2004.

New Mexico State is 1-4 overall and 0-3 on the road. The Aggies are 2-3 against the spread this season and 1-2 ATS on the road. Florida International is 1-2 this season and 1-1 at home. The Panthers are 1-2 ATS and 1-1 ATS at home.

NMSU won its last game 45-26 against Hawaii. FIU is coming off a 73-0 loss at Western Kentucky.

The Aggies’ offense is ranked 125th in the country averaging 277.4 yards a game and 124th with 15.4 points a game and three turnovers. NMSU has been more successful running the ball, 160 yards a game, than throwing it, 117.4 per contest.

The NMSU defense has given up 411 yards and 34.6 points a game to rank 99th and 111th in those categories. Teams have been able to run and pass on the Aggies with equal success, averaging 205.6 yards through the air and 205.4 on the ground. They have just one takeaway.

Florida International averages 290 yards a game on offense without much of a run game (61.7 yards a game) to rank 119th in the country. The Panthers are 83rd with 228.3 passing yards a game and are averaging 16.7 points a contest. A bright spot is the one turnover on the season.

The FIU defense has not gotten the job done either, giving up 470 yards a game. The Panthers are especially susceptible to the pass, with 351 yards allowed on average. They have been outscored 151-50 and have just two takeaways.

Neither of these teams has been an offensive juggernaut nor been especially good on defense. New Mexico State is the better team though and has played a tougher schedule. The Aggies have the edge on both sides of the ball. Given Florida International’s limited run game, NMSU’s defense should have little trouble stopping the Panthers’ passing game. Final Score Prediction: New Mexico State wins and covers 38-17.

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