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Baylor at TCU 11/24/17 - College Football Picks & Predictions

Posted on 18 November 2017 by Jim
TCU vbht

USA Today Sports

Baylor Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogs

CFB: 12:00 PM EST

Nov. 24, 2017

Latest Odds : TCU -23.5 Total 50.5

The Baylor Bears (1 - 10, 1 - 7 CONF) are looking at an incredibly tough game against the #12 TCU Horned Frogs (9 - 2, 6 - 2 CONF) this weekend. TCU will be hosting this game at the Amon G Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX. Baylor has lost four of their past five games and TCU is coming into this match up having just beaten up on Texas Tech. TCU will be the overwhelming favorite in what could be the biggest blowout of the weekend.

The Baylor Bears may not win many games, but they sure know how to move the ball. Baylor is averaging 25 PPG on offense this season while racking up nearly 410 yards per game. Baylor moves most of their offense through the air and that puts the focus on QB Zach Smith (1,458 yards, 8 TD, 7 INT) and his best wide out, Denzel Mims (59 catches, 1061 yards, 8 TD). Baylor is giving up 35 PPG to opposing teams.

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TCU comes into this match up with a solid offense and a dominant defense. TCU is scoring 34 PPG on offense this year while compiling 420 yards per game. TCU pushes everything vertically behind QB Kenny Hill (2,279 yards, 16 TD, 5 INT) and he figures to have a huge game here. TCU is only surrendering 15 PPG to opposing teams so far this season and we think that number stays intact in this game.

Recent Betting Trends:

Bears are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games overall.

Horned Frogs are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games overall.

Under is 4-1 in Horned Frogs last 5 home games.

Free Betting Pick: Baylor Bears +23.5

The short week late in the season creates an ugly game and think bunch of turnovers allows Baylor to keep it closer than the line would suggest. Bears inability to score on offense has cost them in nearly every game this year and don't see it changing against elite defense of TCU. Final Score Prediction, TCU Horned Frogs win but fall short ATS 31-10.

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