Xavier vs Texas Picks and Prediction – 3/19/2025

The Texas Longhorns (19-15) face the Xavier Musketeers (21-11) in a First Four matchup in the Midwest Region of the NCAA Tournament. Texas dropped its last game in the Big 12 Tournament, while Xavier also suffered a setback in the Big East Tournament. Both teams will be looking for a strong showing to advance to the full field. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.

Xavier has been a solid offensive team, shooting 47.0% from the field while averaging 16.9 assists per game. Desmond Claude leads the scoring charge, while Zach Freemantle controls the boards with 7.1 rebounds per game. Quincy Olivari adds firepower with his ability to score from deep. 

Defensively, Xavier averages 7.7 steals per game and blocks 2.6 shots per contest. They have had issues with turnovers, committing 11.3 per game, which could be costly against a Texas squad that applies defensive pressure.

Texas is a slightly less efficient shooting team at 45.9% from the field, but they have a rebounding edge, pulling down 35.6 boards per game. Tyrese Hunter and Dillon Mitchell are key contributors, with Mitchell leading the team in rebounding. Texas also has strong free-throw shooting at 75.1%, which could be crucial in a close game. 

Defensively, the Longhorns allow fewer turnovers at 9.9 per game and block 4.3 shots per contest, but they struggle with fouling, averaging 18.9 per game. The defense will need to step up to contain Xavier’s efficient scoring attack.

Xavier’s offense, including its ball movement, gives them the edge in this matchup. Texas struggles with fouling and turnovers, which could be exploited by Xavier’s ability to get to the free-throw line at 79.2%. If Xavier takes care of the ball and controls the pace, they should have the upper hand in this one. Final Score Prediction: Xavier Musketeers wins and covers 75-70.