Virginia vs California Picks and Prediction – 1/9/2025

Virginia enters this matchup with an 8-6 record, including a 1-2 mark in ACC play. The Cavaliers are coming off a disappointing 70-50 loss to Louisville, where offensive struggles were evident. Isaac McKneely leads Virginia’s offense with 12.3 points per game while shooting 43.8% from the field and 42.7% from three. The Cavaliers average 61.4 points per game but allow 61.5, relying on a slow-paced style and strong ball control, as evidenced by 14.5 assists per contest. Andrew Rohde leads the team in assists at 3.2 per game, while Jacob Cofie leads in rebounds at 5.6 per game. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.

Defensively, Virginia’s strength lies in limiting opponents’ opportunities and controlling the tempo. They average 4.4 blocks and 5.0 steals per game, anchored by Cofie’s 1.2 blocks and Rohde’s 1.2 steals. The Cavaliers’ 43.8% field goal defense keeps them competitive, but rebounding is a concern, as they average only 31.1 rebounds per game. Recent form, including two losses in the last three games, underscores the need for a bounce-back performance.

California enters at 7-7 and 0-3 in conference play, riding a three-game losing streak after falling 80-68 to Clemson. Andrej Stojakovic is the offensive leader, averaging 19.9 points on 46.3% shooting. The Golden Bears average 77.8 points per game while giving up 76.9, showcasing scoring ability but also defensive shortcomings. Mady Sissoko’s 6.6 rebounds and Jovan Blacksher Jr.’s 3.4 assists help a balanced attack, but California’s 10.4 assists per game indicate occasional ball movement issues.

Defensively, California struggles to contain opponents, allowing 45.4% shooting from the field. They average 5.6 steals and 3.9 blocks per game, with Stojakovic contributing 1.2 blocks. However, 36.4 rebounds per game give them an edge over Virginia on the boards. Despite three straight losses, California’s scoring capability, led by Stojakovic, provides them with the ability to outpace opponents offensively.

California’s offensive firepower, led by Andrej Stojakovic, should overpower Virginia’s slower, defensive approach. The Golden Bears’ rebounding edge and ability to push the pace make them the likely winner in this matchup. Virginia’s struggles to score and rebound consistently will prove costly. Final Score Prediction: California wins and covers 74-68.