Mississippi State at Virginia 3/16/22 - NIT Picks & Predictions

Last Updated: 03/14/2022 at 3:51 PM ET

The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Virginia on Tuesday to play the Virginia Cavaliers in the first round of the NIT. Mississippi State was eliminated by Tennessee in the SEC tournament on Friday 72-59. The leading scorer for Mississippi State was Shakeel Moore with 15 points but the Bulldogs managed to shoot only 39.6% and committed 13 turnovers while Tennessee committed just six.

Iverson Molinar is the leading scorer and the leader in assists for Mississippi State with averages of 17.6 points and 3.6 assists per game, while Garrison Brooks is the leading rebounder with an average of 6.6 rebounds per game. Tolu Smith is the second leading scorer with an average of 14.1 points per game and one of three players for the Bulldogs averaging double-figures in scoring.

Virginia was eliminated from the Atlantic Coast Conference tournament by the North Carolina Tar Heels 63-43. Jaylen Gardner was the leading scorer for Virginia with 17 points but the Cavaliers managed to shoot just 34.6% overall and 27.3% from 3-point territory. North Carolina outrebounded Virginia 46-32 and the Cavaliers committed 11 turnovers to only seven by the Tar Heels.

Jayden Gardner is the leading scorer and leading rebounder for Virginia with averages of 15.3 points and 6.6 rebounds per game, while Reece Beekman is the leader in assists with an average of 5.0 assists per game. Armaan Franklin is the second-leading scorer with an average of 10.9 points per game and one of three players for Virginia averaging double-figures in scoring. As a team, the Cavaliers are scoring an average of 62.6 points per game.

Virginia will shut down the Mississippi State offense and pick up a victory at home on Wednesday, but the play here is UNDER. The UNDER has cashed in seven of Virginia's last 10 at home and in four of Mississippi State's last five on the road. Virginia is holding opponents to an average of 60.4 points per game while the Cavaliers are averaging only 63.6 points per game. Mississippi State has an above-average defense and is holding opponents to an average of just 66.7 points per game. Final Score Prediction, Virginia Cavaliers win but our best play is UNDER 63-56.

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