Liberty vs Texas-El Paso Picks and Prediction – 2/16/2025

Liberty (20-5, 8-4 CUSA) faces UTEP (17-7, 7-4 CUSA) in a key Conference USA battle. The Flames are on a three-game winning streak, most recently edging Sam Houston State 64-61. UTEP has also built momentum with a 66-63 victory over New Mexico State. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.

Liberty enters as the superior offensive team, averaging 76.5 points while shooting 49.0% from the field. Guard Kaden Metheny leads the scoring effort with 13.1 points per game, and forward Zach Cleveland provides balance with 6.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists per contest. The Flames also excel in ball movement, ranking high in assists at 16.6 per game. The ability to control pace with efficient shooting and strong passing makes them a tough matchup.

Defensively, Liberty is among the best in CUSA, allowing just 61.4 points per game. The Flames force 7.2 steals per game, with Colin Porter leading in that category. The ability to disrupt opponents and limit second-chance opportunities with solid rebounding gives them a strong edge. If Liberty controls the tempo and forces UTEP into tough shots, they should be in a position to add to the winning streak.

UTEP has had a solid season but will need a strong effort to take down Liberty. The Miners average 73.0 points per game while shooting 45.4% from the field. Forward Otis Frazier III leads the team with 14.3 points per contest, and Kevin Kalu adds 5.5 rebounds per game. UTEP’s offense struggles from deep, making efficient inside scoring essential against a disciplined Liberty defense.

On the defensive side, UTEP allows 68.2 points per game but compensates with an aggressive approach, averaging 10.9 steals per contest. Guard Corey Camper Jr. leads the team with 2.4 steals per game, helping disrupt opposing offenses. However, the Miners struggle on the glass, ranking below Liberty in rebounds per game. For UTEP to have a shot, they must generate turnovers and limit second-chance opportunities.

Liberty is more efficient offensively and disciplined on defense, giving them a significant edge. UTEP’s defensive pressure may cause issues, but the Flames’ superior shooting and rebounding should be the difference. Expect Liberty to dictate the pace and control the game down the stretch. Final Score Prediction: Liberty Flames win and cover 74-67.