Kansas State vs Baylor Picks and Prediction – 3/12/2025

The Kansas State Wildcats (16-16, 9-11) take on the Baylor Bears (18-13, 10-10) in the Big 12 Tournament at the T-Mobile Center. Kansas State is coming off a 71-66 win over Arizona State, bouncing back after a tough loss to Iowa State. Baylor dropped a close one to Houston, 65-61, snapping a two-game winning streak. Dominate the college scene with our College Football picks.

Kansas State has been inconsistent but has shown flashes of strong play, winning three of its last five. The offense averages 71.5 points per game while shooting 44.2% from the field. David N'Guessan leads the scoring at 13.3 points per game, also adding 7.2 rebounds. Dug McDaniel runs the offense, dishing out 4.9 assists per contest. The Wildcats struggle from beyond the arc but take advantage of second-chance opportunities.

Defensively, Kansas State allows 69.4 points per game, matching Baylor in that category. The Wildcats grab 34 rebounds per game and force 7.6 steals per contest, with Coleman Hawkins leading the way at 1.9 per game. Rim protection is a concern, as Kansas State only blocks 3.7 shots per game. If the Wildcats can limit Baylor’s offensive rebounds, they’ll have a shot at an upset.

Baylor has been up and down but has the offensive firepower to be dangerous. The Bears average 76.7 points per game while shooting 44.8% from the floor. Norchad Omier is the go-to scorer at 15.6 points per game, also leading the team in rebounding with 10.7 boards. Robert Wright III sets the tempo, handing out 4.5 assists per game.

Defensively, Baylor allows 69.4 points per game and is slightly better on the glass than Kansas State, pulling in 35.9 rebounds per game. The Bears generate 7.7 steals per contest, with VJ Edgecombe leading the team at 2.1 per game. Shot-blocking is a weakness, averaging just 2.9 per game. If Baylor can control the pace and limit turnovers, they should have the edge.

Baylor’s offensive advantage and rebounding edge should be the difference in this matchup. Omier’s presence inside gives the Bears an advantage over Kansas State’s inconsistent interior defense. The Wildcats have struggled to put together consistent performances, while Baylor’s ability to create extra possessions with steals and rebounds should help them take control. Final Score Prediction: Baylor Bears win 77-68.