Fresno State vs San Diego State Picks and Prediction – 2/19/2025

Fresno State enters this matchup struggling at 5-21 overall and 1-14 in conference play. The Bulldogs have lost eight straight, including a heartbreaking 52-51 defeat to UNLV in the last outing. Offensively, Fresno State averages 72.0 points per game while shooting 40.5% from the field. Jalen Weaver leads the team with 12.3 points per game, but efficiency has been an issue at 38.1% shooting. Elijah Price provides a presence inside, leading the Bulldogs with 8.0 rebounds per game. Zaon Collins runs the offense with 4.7 assists per contest, but Fresno State has struggled with ball movement, averaging just 11.5 assists per game. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.

Defensively, Fresno State allows 81.7 points per game, one of the worst marks in the conference. The Bulldogs struggle with rim protection, averaging only 3.2 blocks per contest. They have been unable to consistently force turnovers despite Zaon Collins’ 2.0 steals per game. Opponents have taken advantage of the Bulldogs’ porous defense, leading to a frustrating season. 

San Diego State comes into this game at 17-6 overall and 10-4 in conference play, riding a two-game win streak after beating Boise State 64-47. The Aztecs average 70.8 points per game while shooting 43.6% from the floor. Miles Byrd leads the team in scoring with 13.1 points per game but is shooting just 38.9% from the field. Nick Boyd is the playmaker of the offense with 3.7 assists per game, and the team moves the ball well, averaging 12.4 assists per contest. San Diego State also controls the glass, with Magoon Gwath pulling down 5.4 rebounds per game.

Defensively, San Diego State is among the best in the conference, allowing just 62.6 points per game. The Aztecs excel in rim protection with 5.7 blocks per contest, anchored by Magoon Gwath’s 2.7 blocks per game. The aggressive defense also generates 7.7 steals per game, with Miles Byrd leading the way at 2.0 steals per game. 

Fresno State’s struggles on both ends of the floor make it difficult to trust them in this matchup. The Bulldogs have given up over 80 points per game and are facing one of the top defenses in the conference. San Diego State’s ability to control the pace, force turnovers, and dominate defensively will be the difference. Expect San Diego State to extend its winning streak with a convincing victory. Final Score Prediction: San Diego State wins and covers 79-60.