Evansville at Northern Iowa 2/13/18 - College Basketball Picks & Predictions
USA Today Sports
Evansville Purple Aces vs. Northern Iowa Panthers
NCAAB: 8:00 PM EST
Feb. 13, 2018
Latest Odds : UNI -4 Total 121
Evansville split games with Valparaiso and Missouri State last week and has been on a slight uptick in Missouri Valley Conference action, winning four of the last six contests. The Aces are still seeking answers on the road however, where they've dropped six of seven to conference competition. It's been a rare disastrous season in Cedar Falls, Iowa for coach Ben Jacobsen and the Northern Iowa Panthers. After a promising start that included a win over N.C. State, the Panthers have stumbled through the Valley, losing four of five, including a seven-point loss to Drake last time out. UNI is 4-3 at home vs. the Valley.
Evansville is a defensive juggernaut, ranking second in the Valley in efficiency and top 50 in the nation. The Aces allow 65.2 points per game. Ryan Taylor puts up 21.2 ppg and Dru Smith contributes 13.4 ppg. Evansville scores 67 ppg and is offensively challenged. The Aces are ninth in the Valley in offensive efficiency and 251st in the nation, struggling due to a high turnover rate and 44.8 percent 2-point shooting in conference.
UNI is eighth in the Valley in offensive efficiency and ninth in defensive efficiency and you don't have to embrace advanced statistics to understand that's a losing combination. The Panthers muster 64.8 ppg and have only player who averages in double figure scoring - Bennett Koch (12.5 ppg). UNI rarely forces turnovers on defense and has let opponents bury 40 percent of 3-pointers. They allow 63.3 ppg on the season.
Recent Betting Trends:
Purple Aces are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Panthers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Purple Aces last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 home games.
Free Betting Pick: Evansville Purple Aces +4
Hard to imagine why a struggling Northern Iowa is favored in this spot with Panthers going just 1-4 straight up in last 5 games. First head to head match-up was easy win by Evansville 57-49 - think Purple Aces get season sweep on road this time. Final Score Prediction, Evansville Purple Aces win in upset but grab the points just in case 61-55.