Dayton at Toledo 3/16/22 - NIT Picks & Predictions

Game: Toledo Rockets vs Dayton Flyers
Date & Time: 3/16/2022, 11:00 PM UTC
Location: Savage Arena
Address: Toledo, OH
Latest Odds: TOL -1 ; O/U 143.5
TV Channel: ESPN+

The Dayton Flyers visit Savage Arena in Toledo, Ohio to play the Toledo Rockets in the first round of the NIT on Wednesday. Dayton missed out on the Big Dance after losing to the Richmond Spiders 68-64 in the semifinals of the Atlantic 10 Conference tournament on Saturday. Dayton finished the season 23-10 and won three of its final four.

The leading scorer for Dayton is DaRon Holmes II with an average of 12.5 points per game, while second-leading scorer and leading rebounder is Toumani Camara with averages of 11.1 points and 6.9 rebounds per game. The leader in assists is Malachi Smith with an average of 5.3 assists per game. Dayton has only two players that average double-figures in scoring and as a team the Flyers are scoring an average of 69.1 points per game.

Toledo was upset by the Akron Zips in the semifinals of the Mid-American Conference tournament 70-62, after winning the regular-season title of the MAC. The leading scorer for Toledo was Ryan Rollins with 18 points but the Rockets shot only 44.4% and were outrebounded by Akron 36-33. The loss by Toledo snapped a six-game winning streak for the Rockets.

Ryan Rollins is the leading scorer and rebounder for Toledo with averages of 19.0 points and 6.1 rebounds per game, while RayJ Dennis is the leader in assists with an average of 4.0 assists per game. JT Shumate is the second leading scorer with an average of 15.5 points per game and one of four players for Toledo averaging double-figures in scoring. The Rockets are scoring an average of 80.7 points per game.

Odds Table

Betting Trends

  • Dayton is 7-3 ATS in its last 10
  • The OVER has cashed in 9 of the Flyers last 12
  • Toledo is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 at home
  • The UNDER has cashed in 6 of the Rockets last 7 at home
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Free NCAA Basketball Pick: Dayton Flyers +1

Dayton and Toledo were eliminated from their conference tournaments in the semifinals and both will be looking to make a deep run in the NIT. Dayton has one of the better defenses in the nation, allowing an average of only 60.6 points per game which is 13th and holds opponents to a field goal percentage of 41.0% which is 53rd. This will help the Flyers against the high-scoring Rockets, who are averaging 81.5 points per game. Dayton has covered the number in seven of its last 10 overall and will do so on Wednesday against the Rockets. Final Score Prediction, Dayton Flyers win and cover ATS 72-69.


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WIN/LOSS 19/14
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WIN/LOSS 32/26
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