Boise State vs San Diego State Picks and Prediction – 3/13/2025

Boise State and San Diego State square off in the Mountain West quarterfinals in Las Vegas. Both teams finished 14-6 in conference play, with the Broncos at 22-9 and the Aztecs at 21-8 overall. Boise State comes off an 83-73 loss to Colorado State, snapping a five-game winning streak, while San Diego State dominated Nevada 80-61 in its last outing. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.

Boise State enters this matchup as a slight favorite despite the recent loss. The Broncos average 76.0 points per game while allowing just 66.3. Tyson Degenhart leads the offense, scoring 17.8 points per game while shooting 51.7% from the field. Alvaro Cardenas has been a strong playmaker, dishing out 6.9 assists per game. Offensively, the team shoots 46.5% from the field but will need to be efficient against a tough Aztecs defense.

Defensively, Boise State has been solid, limiting opponents to 66.3 points per game while forcing 5.4 steals. Cardenas contributes 1.5 steals per contest, while O’Mar Stanley provides rim protection. The Broncos will need to limit turnovers and crash the boards, as San Diego State has a slight rebounding edge.

San Diego State comes in with momentum after a dominant win over Nevada. The Aztecs average 71.5 points per game while allowing just 63.7, the best mark in the conference. Nick Boyd leads the offense with 13.2 points and 4.0 assists per game. While not an explosive offensive team, they are efficient, shooting 44.6% from the field.

The Aztecs’ defense is their calling card, ranking among the best in the Mountain West. They force 7.8 steals per game, with Miles Byrd leading the way at 2.1. Magoon Gwath protects the rim with 2.6 blocks per contest. With a physical defensive style and an ability to force turnovers, San Diego State will try to dictate the pace.

San Diego State’s defense gives them an edge, and their ability to force turnovers could disrupt Boise State’s offense. The Aztecs also hold a slight rebounding advantage, and if they control the tempo, they should come out on top. Final Score Prediction: San Diego State wins 68-65.