Kentucky Derby 2016
May 7, 2016
The running of the Kentucky Derby is going to be taking place on Saturday, but the favorite horse has an unlucky post number. The reason for that is Nyquist, who is sitting at 3-1 odds currently has managed to draw post number 13. So it will really show if the number is truly unlikely like a lot of people are used to assuming or if the numbers supposed jinx is going to be broken in this race. However, Nyquist is only one of the horses that has managed to draw a following as their are several other horses that have been talked about in the Derby.
In fact, the horses beside the post are going to have some of the strongest finishing horses and could start to get the great results in the Derby. A couple of the horses that are in by the post that are strong finishers, which is a great place for them to take and maintain during the race are Trojan Nation who is at 50-1 odds and Creator who is actually holding the odds at 10-1 so far. So it will be interesting to see if these strong finishers are able to maintain the post and keep the inside track the entire race or if they will fall out of favor and find themselves in the back of the pack.
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What will be interesting is to see if Lani is going to be able to overcome his slump. Lani is a Japanese transplant into the horse racing world, but he has struggling in the all week. However, it is going to be interesting to see if the Japanese horse will be able to turn up when the jockey and owner needs him to or if he is going to struggle in the big race, like so many of the other horses have done and how he has done all week.
Of course we are always about getting better prices in the competitive 20 horse field and our handicapping picks and wagers are below the PP's.
2016 Kentucky Derby Entries, Jockey, & Trainer
D. Von Hemel
R. Santana Jr.
My Man Sam
I. Ortiz Jr.
B. Hernandez Jr.
2016 Kentucky Derby Predicted Order of Finish
1st Place: #15 Outwork (15-1) - Strong Wood Memorial Winner would be enough to be right their if favorite Nyquist is just short of his best or gets any trouble. Pletcher has not had ton of success in the Kentucky Derby but think this his best chance since Super Saver broke through. Best jokey Velazquez will have Outwork sitting in 2nd flight and will get first jump on the front runners, distance won't be problem as we score at double digit plus odds.
2nd Place: #13 Nyquist (3-1) - Average group of 3 year olds makes the undefeated connections look even better than he really is. This one would have been closer to third best in last years 3 year old crop and really worry about the distance limitation at this short price.
3rd Place: #11 Exaggerator (8-1) - Would be our top choice if the win was over fast track but the wet track win was impressive enough for us to give him shot once again in Derby at another nice price. Does have a ton of similarity and talent of his daddy Curlin and if he steps forward will definitely have shot at hitting board if not winning it all.
Winning Wager for 2016 Kentucky Derby
$100 Win/Place: #15 Outwork
$5 Exacta Box: #15 Outwork, #13 Nyquist, #11 Exaggerator, and #3 Creator
$1 Trifecta Wheel: #15 Outwork, #13 Nyquist, #11 Exaggerator with #15 Outwork, #13 Nyquist, #11 Exaggerator, with ALL