Kamaru Usman vs Khamzat Chimaev Picks and Prediction – 10/21/2023

By: Josh Obermeyer |

Last Updated: 10/17/2023 at 5:08 PM ET

Kamaru Usman vs Khamzat Chimaev 10/21/23 - UFC Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 10/21/2023, 6:00 PM UTC

On Saturday evening October 21st, Kamaru Usman squares off against Khamzat Chimaev in this Middleweight Fight. Be ready to find all the great information about the fights with our UFC Picks. The bout will take place at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Chimaev is 2 inches taller than Usman, but will be at a 1-inch reach disadvantage. This will be the first ever match-up between these two middleweights.

Khamzat Chimaev comes into this contest with a fight record of 12-0-0 with 6 knockouts and 5 submissions. He is a perfect 6-0 since joining the UFC back in 2020. In those 6 fights, opponents have only made it out of round 1 twice. And although he has 6 fights already within the UFC, Chimaev hasn't fought in over a year. His last bout was a submission over Kevin Holland in the first round back in September of last year. Chimaev is a dangerous man with heavy hands, so Usman will have his hands full on Saturday evening. Khamzat "Borz" Chimaev fights out of the Allstars Training Center camp.

Kamaru Usman has a fight record of 20-3-0 with 9 knockouts and 1 submission. Usman was a perfect 15-0 through his first 15 UFC fights, but has since dropped his last two contests. Granted, those two losses came in the fifth and final round both times to stud fighter Leon Edwards. Usman beat Edwards back in 2015, but has since dropped back-to-back fights to the Brit. Although Usman was able to takedown Edwards 4 times to 0 in their last contest, he was being out-struck 120-87 before losing in a majority decision. Usman has never lost back-to-back fights in his career, so he will be hungry to dish out some pain in hopes of getting an early-round knockout to get back in the win column. Kamaru "The Nigerian Nightmare" Usman fights out of the ONX Sports camp.

Kamaru Usman vs Khamzat Chimaev Prediction

Kamaru Usman vs Khamzat Chimaev Pick Analysis

Our Free Boxing Pick for vs

Chimaev is more than a 2 to 1 favorite over Usman on Saturday evening, and for good reason. Chimaev has proven that he is a well-rounded fighter who can finish from his feet or on his back. He has an evenly balanced finish rate with 6 knockouts and 5 submissions. Chimaev is landing a significant strike rate of 7.30 per minute, compared to Usman's 4.46. Chimaev is also connecting on a higher percentage of his significant strikes that he throws. He's connecting on 59% while Usman is landing just 52%. This should be another lob-sided contest where Chimaev gets it done early with a knockout. Final Score Prediction, Khamzat Chimaev wins via a 3rd round knockout.

Download the Picks and Parlays Mobile App

Get A free VIP Pick Daily!