Brendan Allen vs Paul Craig Picks and Prediction – 11/18/2023

By: Josh Obermeyer |

Last Updated: 11/14/2023 at 9:46 PM ET

Brendan Allen vs Paul Craig 11/18/23 - UFC Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 11/18/2023, 10:00 PM UTC

On Saturday evening November 18th, Brendan Allen squares off against Paul Craig in this Middleweight Main Event Fight. The bout will take place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. Craig is one-inch taller than Allen, and will have a one-inch reach advantage. Craig is 8 years the elder to the younger Allen. Get ready for all the UFC action with our UFC Picks.

Paul Craig comes into this bout with a fight record of 17-6-1 with 4 knockouts and 13 submissions. Shockingly, this will be Craig's third fight of this calendar year. This year he has gone just 1-2 through those 3 fights, but he did get a victory in his most recent brawl. Craig knocked out Andre Muniz in the second-round due to vicious elbows that busted up his face until the referee jumped in to stop the fight. His two losses came against well-known names in the fight world in Volkan Oezdemir and Johnny Walker. Paul "Bearjew" Craig fights out of the Higher Level Martial Arts camp.

Brendan Allen has a fight record of 22-5-0 with 5 knockouts and 13 submissions. Since joining the UFC back in 2019, he has gone 11-2 through 13 fights. Like Craig, this will be Allen's third fight of the calendar year. In fact, he has fought at least 3 times in each of the last 3 years. Allen is currently on a 5-fight win-streak with his last loss coming back in 2021 to Chris Curtis. Four out of his last 5 fights have ended via a submission for Allen. In his most recent fight, he disposed of Bruno Silva in just 4:39 seconds through round one. Allen was up 10 significant strikes and up 1 takedown before getting Silva to the mat and submitting him via a rear-naked choke. Brendan "All In" Allen fights out of the KillCliff FC camp.

Brendan Allen vs Paul Craig Prediction

Brendan Allen vs Paul Craig Pick Analysis

Our Free Boxing Pick for vs

This should be a fantastic match-up of two busy fighters who have above-average power and exquisite ground games. These two fighters have 26 submissions between them, and it's not far-fetched to think that one of them will reach 14 submissions personally on Saturday. Allen is currently ranked #10 in the world, while Craig is ranked #13. It's no secret that both fighters will be wanting to get this fight to the mat early and often. Both can stand and brawl with each other, but they will both be looking for a takedown and a submission to end it. Craig has an excellent ground game, but has a tendency to eat a lot of shots while searching for submissions. Look for Allen to take advantage of softening Craig up, and then ultimately finishing the fight for his 11th rear naked choke and 14th submission of his career. Final Score Prediction, Brendan Allen wins via a second-round submission.

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