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Tostitos Fiesta Bowl - Central Florida vs Baylor 1/1/14 - Free Picks, Odds, & Predictions

Posted on 1 January 2014 by Adam
fiestabowl14

Central Florida Knights (11-1) vs. Baylor Bears (11-1)

CFB: 8:30 PM EST  January 1, 2014 TV: ESPN
Latest Odds: Baylor -16.5  Over/Under 69

The 43rd annual Fiesta Bowl closes out another New Year's day of bowl action, this year Central Florida Knights take on the Baylor Bears. For 18th straight year the name sponsor will be Tostitos Fiesta Bowl. Big money payoff for these two as each will receive $17 million for their conference to distribute amongst its members.  

The Baylor Bears are ranked 6th in the nation, so a bowl game match with UFC at rank 15 shouldn't seem like a problem for the Bears. Big points are in store for Fiesta Bowl, in fact odds makers have total set at 69 points.

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The UCF Knights have shown themselves to be competent team in the regular season. Knights posted wins over Houston, Penn State and Louisville, and the Knights only lost was to the #7 Gamecocks by a mere three points. In fact, the Knights' overall season performance ended with an 11-1 performance, which is nothing to snort at.

The public might think the Baylor Bears will thoroughly dominate the Knights but so many times in bowl games big upsets happen. The Bears offense was one of the best in College Football, Baylor leads nation in points averaging 53.3 ppg but its the improved defense that made biggest difference this year. Baylor defense ranks 19th in points allowed per game at 21.2 ppg. 

Recent Betting Trends:

Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Bears are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games overall.

Under is 4-1 in Knights last 5 games overall.

Over is 4-1 in Bears last 5 neutral site games.

Free Betting Pick: Central Florida Knights +16.5

Laying two plus Touchdowns is just too much to ask for Baylor to overcome. Central Florida is very good team just ask the SEC's South Carolina that struggled to beat UCF. Baylor defense is built to play with the lead as their pass rush takes over but think Central Florida power running game will make it really tough on Baylor. UCF has real chance to win this game outright but definitely think Knights will cover ATS. Final Score Prediciton, Baylor pulls out close win but no where near an ATS Cover 45-37.

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Comments

  • Sister J says:
    01/01/2014 (10 months ago)

    University of Central Florida= UCF not CFU.

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